B6 701 · BOS → MSY

departs 3:46 PM ET · arrives 6:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at MSY that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

MSY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 701 · BOS → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?