Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 733 · BOS → SFO
departs 4:28 PM ET · arrives 8:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 26%
Thu 10/15 38%
Fri 10/16 46%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.