Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 791 · BOS → TPA
departs 11:11 AM ET · arrives 2:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 29%
Sat 10/17 27%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.