Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 842 · DUB → JFK
departs 11:25 AM IST · arrives 2:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 31%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DUB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DUB
Weather at each end
DUB (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.