Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 845
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 845 · BOS → SYR
departs 7:09 PM ET · arrives 8:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 27%
Thu 10/15 41%
Fri 10/16 49%
Sat 10/17 36%
Sun 10/18 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
7pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
SYR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.