Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 202 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

BA 202 · BOS → LHR

departs 10:10 PM ET · arrives 9:10 AM BST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LHR?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

LHR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 202 · BOS → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?