BR 622 · TPE → LAX

departs 3:58 AM CST · arrives 11:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE

Weather at each end

TPE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BR 622 · TPE → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?