Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 6
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
BW 6 · JFK → KIN
departs 1:59 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM EST
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 18%
Sat 10/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at KIN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to KIN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at KIN that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
1pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
KIN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
KIN (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.