Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4822
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
C5 4822 · BHM → IAH
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 13%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BHM is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.