Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 5013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
C5 5013 · LBB → IAH
departs 11:56 AM CT · arrives 1:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13
Fri 10/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±5 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.