Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 5014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
C5 5014 · IAH → LBB
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 11:16 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13
Fri 10/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.