tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CHINA AIRLINES · FLIGHT CI 5117 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CI 5117 · LAX → TPE

departs 4:46 AM PT · arrives 9:35 AM CST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPE?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.