tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 403 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CM 403 · IAD → PTY

departs 2:27 AM ET · arrives 6:15 AM EST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at PTY more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PTY?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.