Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 1297 · BOS → AUS
departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 35%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 29%
Thu 10/15 34%
Fri 10/16 35%
Sat 10/17 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.