Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1299
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1299 · IAH → SLC
departs 7:01 PM CT · arrives 9:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 32%
Sun 10/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
7pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.