Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1304
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1304 · SLC → SNA
departs 9:05 PM MT · arrives 10:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±7 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.