Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1447
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1447 · SLC → PHX
departs 8:05 AM MT · arrives 8:44 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 9%
Sat 10/17 9%
Sun 10/18 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.