Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1483 · LAX → SLC
departs 7:15 PM PT · arrives 10:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 22%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.