Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 1532 · IAH → SLC
departs 2:21 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.