Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1553
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1553 · DEN → SLC
departs 12:45 PM MT · arrives 2:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
12pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.