Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1692 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:36 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 1692 · PHL → ATL

departs 5:17 PM ET · arrives 7:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1692 · PHL → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?