Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1718
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1718 · DTW → IAH
departs 4:15 PM ET · arrives 6:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 27%
Sun 10/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±9 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.