Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1884
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1884 · SAN → SLC
departs 7:08 PM PT · arrives 10:07 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 25%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sun 10/18 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.