Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 1914 · IAH → DTW
departs 11:23 AM CT · arrives 3:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 23%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
11am departures from IAH are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.