Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1918
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 1918 · NAS → JFK
departs 1:07 PM EDT · arrives 3:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave NAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at NAS that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
NAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.31 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.