Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2012 · SLC → EWR
departs 10:29 AM MT · arrives 4:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
10am departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.