Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2016
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2016 · SLC → SEA
departs 8:44 PM MT · arrives 10:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 61%
Mon 10/12 33%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 21%
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 31%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.83 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.