Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2163 · DTW → BDL
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 10/12 11%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 8%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BDL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
10am departures from DTW are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DTW that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.