Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2199 · SLC → SAT
departs 1:25 PM MT · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 18%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.32 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.