Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2282 · JAC → SLC
departs 1:15 PM MT · arrives 2:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Mon 10/12 28%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 12%
Thu 10/15 15%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sat 10/17 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave JAC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.11 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.