Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2405 · LGA → MSY
departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 35%
Fri 10/16 40%
Sat 10/17 17%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.