Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2477 · SLC → YYZ
departs 10:48 AM MT · arrives 4:35 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 9%
Thu 10/15 9%
Fri 10/16 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at YYZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYZ?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.9 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at YYZ that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YYZ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.88 in
YYZ (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.