Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2503 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2503 · LGA → ORD

departs 5:33 PM ET · arrives 7:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2503 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?