Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2587 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2587 · TPA → DTW

departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2587 · TPA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?