Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2641 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 4:02 PM ET (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 2641 · FLL → JFK

departs 3:37 PM ET · arrives 6:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

JFK (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2641 · FLL → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?