Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2768 · SEA → ANC
departs 7:35 AM PT · arrives 10:21 AM AKT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Mon 10/12 8%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 9%
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 11%
Sat 10/17 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
ANC is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ANC (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.