DL 276 · BOS → NCE

departs 8:16 PM ET · arrives 9:22 AM CEST

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at NCE more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to NCE?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into NCE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

NCE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 276 · BOS → NCE

Odds over time

How late will it get to NCE?