Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
DL 2797 · SLC → SAT
departs 8:40 PM MT · arrives 12:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.67 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.