Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2798 · DFW → SLC
departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 18%
Sun 10/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.