Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2804 LANDED 2:14 AM CT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 13 Yesterday

DL 2804 · BOS → ORD

took off 1:11 AM ET · landed 2:14 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −47 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.17 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2804 · BOS → ORD

Odds over time