Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2818
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 2818 · ROA → ATL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 6%
Thu 10/15 9%
Fri 10/16 10%
Sat 10/17 11%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave ROA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ROA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA
Weather at each end
ROA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.