Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
DL 3145 · DTW → BHM
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BHM at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BHM (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.