Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 464 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

DL 464 · BOS → SLC

departs 11:15 AM ET · arrives 2:20 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.01 in

SLC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 464 · BOS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?