Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 751 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

DL 751 · DEN → LGA

departs 11:00 AM MT · arrives 4:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,267 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.01 in

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 751 · DEN → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?