Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 846 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:29 PM ET (18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Today

DL 846 · LGA → DFW

departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 6:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 846 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?