Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 869 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 12:53 PM ET (20 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

DL 869 · LGA → DFW

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 3:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 869 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?