Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 915 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

DL 915 · LAX → JFK

departs 12:12 AM PT · arrives 8:16 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ 12am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 915 · LAX → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?