Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1408 · ATL → BUF
departs 5:58 AM ET · arrives 8:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 17%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BUF that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.