Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1703
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1703 · IAH → PHX
departs 5:58 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15 31%
Fri 10/16 31%
Sat 10/17 28%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.