Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 1882 · IAH → ORD
departs 11:15 AM CT · arrives 2:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 35%
Thu 10/15 45%
Fri 10/16 37%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.20 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.